Our Brand-new Deepseek-based AI Says
Andrew Beaman módosította ezt az oldalt ekkor: 1 napja


Our new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl predictions from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting

Share this post

Nobody can forecast the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to provide it its best shot. With as much as date news and a little however feisty 14 Billion specification model, our AI is boldly forecasting the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to respond to mankind's most difficult questions.

Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, simply as 2 years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain many pushing questions that are less easy to pin down. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a large language design to be much better at anticipating the future (and have seen some intriguing improvements - term paper inbound). This week we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

For more updates from the AI world sign up for my newsletter!

Background

Our AI is a 14 billion parameter model which is actually on the smaller sized side. (Some estimates recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION criteria and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from lots of months ago so we have actually built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, wiki.rolandradio.net and ranking. With each concern we provide the news and surgiteams.com watch as the AI reasons its method through unidentified area to make its finest prediction possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We presented the following concerns to our AI and assessed its action. While we have seen forecast enhancements from our training, utilize these quotes for prop betting at your own danger.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity

And so it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta element in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposal ...

First, I'll look at the essential points from the articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been supportive of his profession, attending his games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, oke.zone and Taylor has actually even invited her loved ones to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.

Some fans are excited, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially offered remarks Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship personal and not dealing with the speculation straight.

I believe the bottom lines are the speculation and his incredibly elusive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the odds and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, possibly around 5%, thinking about all factors.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" move, now its just a different front-tush being pushed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar attempts? Appears like our AI believes they'll be utilizing Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this game.

Alright, I'm trying to find out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend just what a "tush-push" is. From the articles, it appears like it's a method where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to press off defenders. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and method.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to execute the move. The article discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this technique, which is quite high. ... I likewise need to believe about the protective methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs are mindful of the Eagles' "tush-push" method, they might change their defense appropriately, which might either increase or reduce the number of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than five looks like a considerable number however possible given their self-confidence, I would estimate a probability around 60-70% opportunity. This represents their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the likelihood that they'll utilize it numerous times, particularly if it's efficient early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime show efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% chance

While our AI may not resemble us when it pertains to consciousness, surgiteams.com a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to pull back from a fight.

From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his songs, morphomics.science like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration throughout a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That seems significant due to the fact that it reveals he's done it in the past, so maybe he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current articles, it mentions that Lamar is moving away from political declarations and focusing more on personal expression. That might mean he's less most likely to deal with Trump this time.

However, he's also included in a fight with Drake, which might give him factors to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a libel match from Drake, so possibly he's mindful about including any controversial songs in the efficiency. But since he won the Grammys for that track, he may still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile event, Lamar may feel compelled to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to avoid political declarations during the halftime program, so there's a risk that such material may be limited or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making strong proceed huge phases. He's the very first solo rap act to headline the halftime program, which might provide him more imaginative freedom. Plus, his past habits recommends he's not shy about expressing his viewpoints, even in public performances.

But I likewise remember reading that Lamar revealed tiredness about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might suggest he's less encouraged to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, present shifts in focus, legal concerns, grandtribunal.org and the occasion's context-the probability seems to be reasonably high, perhaps around 65%.

Will Andy Reid eat a cheeseburger on screen after the extremely bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility

Lets be honest, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who does not? Will the truth that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its forecast? Appears like theres rather of a chance that if the chiefs taste success, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't indicate to trigger offense which he in fact found it amusing himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which may suggest he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Looking at the posts, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food lover and loves cheeseburgers. There's a post specifically about his love for food, which recommends that he's a person who delights in consuming, particularly with his team. So, if there were plans to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would engage in a cheeseburger, especially if the circumstance is on screen for a celebration.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't trick the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been predicting the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially lucrative? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and believes anything can occur when that coin enters the air.

Okay, so I'm attempting to find out the possibility that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historical information that may affect this prediction.

First, I read through the posts offered. They all mention the historical statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It looks like tails has turned up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the result 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which has to do with 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a small edge, but it's not a big distinction.

However, I keep in mind that the result of a coin toss is generally thought about random. The minor historical edge for tails could be due to chance. But when making predictions, in some cases individuals weigh historical data even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I must think about whether this historic predisposition needs to affect the likelihood.

After considering it, I choose that while the historical data shows a small preference for tails, it's not statistically considerable adequate to move the probability away from 0.5. So, I'll opt for 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the small historic edge exists but does not bypass the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely think the exact same. BUT, its authorities now since our AI says the chances are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to fraud on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm trying to determine the likelihood that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of short articles that speak about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are pointing to some doubtful hire current games, particularly the AFC National championship. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get frustrated when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "preposterous" and "absurd." They say there's no proof of organized predisposition. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it might suggest there's no genuine basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some truth to it.

Looking at the short articles, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also discussed that statistical analysis does not reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For instance, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have actually been punished more because 2022. That's intriguing because if they were getting special treatment, you might anticipate fewer penalties, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the possibility that referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely very low. Maybe not zero because you can't dismiss every possibility, however very unlikely.

Summary

There you have it everyone, is it even worth seeing the game still? I guess I'll have to wait and see how the game turns out before we unleash this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a great video game! And hello, if it ends up our AI was incorrect about whatever, at least it can gain from this.